JPMorgan Econ FI-China’s Economic Outlook in 2H24 Back to trend growth-108850443
2024-07宏观经济40免费
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- 📄 文件全名
- 《JPMorgan Econ FI-China’s Economic Outlook in 2H24 Back to trend growth-108850443.pdf》
- 🎯 适合读者
- 投资人行业研究员
- 📊 核心数据
- expected at 5.3%oya (7.4%q/q saar), though the growth momentum softened in 2Q (JPM forecast: 3.5%q/q saar).
- Withdrawal of policy support in April but a quick adjustment. April credit growth hit a new record low at 8.3%oya,
- Our full-year growth forecast is 5.2%, assuming the economy will return to trend growth in 2H at 4.5%q/q saar. We
- lower TSF growth to 8.5% (vs. 9.5% in 2023).
- 🏷️ 核心议题
- #GDP