UBS Economics-Global Economic Perspectives _Recession probabilities elevat...-109777168

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📄 文件全名: 《UBS Economics-Global Economic Perspectives _Recession probabilities elevat...-109777168.pdf》
🎯 适合读者: 战略规划行业研究员
📊 核心数据: highlighting that the economy was undergoing a significant slowdown (from over 3%
credit models, has dropped to 53% in July, from 60% a few months ago and a high of
75% a year ago. A primer on our recession models is here .
momentum up or down. The implied recession probability in this model is now 80%, a
probability dropped to 50% in July from 60% in the spring and 90% a year ago (Figure
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Global Research and Evidence Lab Recession probabilities elevated but stable Recession talk has erupted again, but our models see no abrupt change

📋 核心要点(部分)

9 August 2024

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《UBS Economics-Global Economic Perspectives _Recession probabilities elevat...-109777168》主要包含哪些内容?

Global Research and Evidence Lab Recession probabilities elevated but stable Recession talk has erupted again, but our models see no abrupt change核心数据:highlighting that the economy was undergoing a significant slowdown (from over 3%;credit models, has dropped to 53% in July, from 60% a few months ago and a high of;75% a year ago. A primer on our recession models is here .。

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