UBS Equities-Global Strategy _USDAsia The lost smile_ Arora-109807581
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- 《UBS Equities-Global Strategy _USDAsia The lost smile_ Arora-109807581.pdf》
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- 战略规划行业研究员
- 📊 核心数据
- EM Asia currencies have been inversely correlated to equities with an R-Squared of 50%.
- Meanwhile, the expected risks from potential tariffs , and a 5-10% CNY weakness in ‘25
- further ~1-2% gains in lagging Asian currencies like TWD, and potentially PHP. Viceversa, be careful of too good news; which could arguably pare back some of the hopes
- Figure 2: Despite EM Asia equities’ ~5% weakness last
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