UBS Economics-China Economic Perspectives _Home Destocking Debate and Prop...-110039788
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- 《UBS Economics-China Economic Perspectives _Home Destocking Debate and Prop...-110039788.pdf》
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- 战略规划行业研究员
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- with 2024E, with property sales, new starts and investment falling another 5-10%, 1015% and 5-10%, respectively, all weaker than our previous projections. Overall
- property downturn and a significant external shock such as a 60% US tariff hike.
- property sales volume declined by 51% in Q2 2024 from H1 2021, while new starts have
- contracted by a much steeper 69% from H220, and real estate development investment
- has fallen by 34% from H2 2020. That said, even after such a sharp decline and recent
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