UBS Equities-Global Strategy _US credit outlook 10 key themes for multi-...-115230338
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- 《UBS Equities-Global Strategy _US credit outlook 10 key themes for multi-...-115230338.pdf》
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- cut to 60%, reciprocal tariffs largely rolled back) where default rates remain near 1%
- Scenario 2 (China cut to 60%, reciprocal tariffs stand) we see defaults rising to 2-3%
- 69% of S&P 500 companies beating and EPS on pace for 10% growth. But most of this
- shares are 33-37% off peak levels, and stronger credit quality has led to lower betas vs.
- timing out. In Scenario 1 (150%+ tariffs on China, 10% reciprocal) we expect a mild
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