KROLL-经济学洞察:量化全球石油市场的主要风险和机遇(英)-2026.2
聚焦KROLL-经济学洞察:量化全球石油市场的主要风险和机遇(英)-2026.2。Key Findings Global oil markets enter 2026 in surplus—yet geopolitical shocks dominate the risk outlook.A closure of the Strait of Hormuz in 2026 which doubles oil prices and drives down global growth by 2.5%, pushing most of the world into recession.20% percent of global supply passes through the Straits of Hormuz.