聚焦IMF-用多区域因素模型预测世界贸易(英)-2026.3。The model also highlights the regional sources of fluctuations in global trade. We use a generalized forecast error variance decomposition, developed by Pesaran and Shin 1998 and Diebold and Yilmaz 2012, to analyze the spillovers between the global and regional factors in the model.
聚焦IMF-用多区域因素模型预测世界贸易(英)-2026.3。The model also highlights the regional sources of fluctuations in global trade. We use a generalized forecast error variance decomposition, developed by Pesaran and Shin 1998 and Diebold and Yilmaz 2012, to analyze the spillovers between the global and regional factors in the model.
聚焦IMF-用多区域因素模型预测世界贸易(英)-2026.3。The model also highlights the regional sources of fluctuations in global trade. We use a generalized forecast error variance decomposition, developed by Pesaran and Shin 1998 and Diebold and Yilmaz 2012, to analyze the spillovers between the global and regional factors in the model.
覆盖 2026 年,全文共 28 页。
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重点分析了贸易、IMF、用多区域因素模型预测世界贸易等议题。