法国预测与国际信息中心-紧张局势下的贸易:来自媒体报道的双边事件的见解(英)-2026.3
聚焦法国预测与国际信息中心-紧张局势下的贸易:来自媒体报道的双边事件的见解(英)-2026.3。An increase of one standard deviation in our tension indicator has an effect on trade equivalent to a tariff ranging from 0.06% to 8.19%, depending on the specification.